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【摘要】：工业生产基本上可以看作是一个人为的物质资源转换过程,即将自然资源加工、制造成消费品或者工业成品、半成品的过程,另外也有能源生产过程中的能源开采、开发活动。因此,自然资源的消耗是工业生产过程的必要条件。同时,工业生产活动制造出工业废弃物并对自然环境产生作用,所以环境的变化是工业生产活动不可避免的一种后果。资源的消耗和环境的变化是有极限的,尤其是环境的破坏和污染问题。资源的过度消耗不仅使工业生产不可持续,也削弱了人类赖以生存的基础条件。因此,有必要改变发展模式,重组经济结构,其中注重减少自然资源的消耗,减少温室气体排放,提高社会经济效率和保护环境。这是可持续发展的道路。几十年来在越南工业发展的过程中,尤其是在20多年的改革开放过程,越南取得了可圈可点的结果。特别在湄公河三角洲,作为越南南部的重点经济发展区域,该区域拥有较多的比较优势,如地理位置、气候条件、矿产资源、森林资源、以及高质量和比较充沛的人力资源,因此可发展工业化和现代化导向的多元化经济。虽然湄公河三角洲产业发展迅速,然而已显示许多缺点如资本密集型、产品质量低、自然资源消耗大、环境污染严重,已经接近环境与资源限制界线。此外,城市生活垃圾和污水处理利率仍在低水平徘徊,虽然二氧化碳排放处理是国家的优先事项。因此,面对自然资源与环境受限制条件下的湄公河三角洲区域可持续发展策略的探讨和制定是十分迫切的事情。从所述的实际情况,笔者选择了“越南湄公河三角洲区域可持续发展综合评价与策略探讨”作为论文探讨内容和题目。基于可持续发展的理论探讨和评价和略论的措施,本文进行了湄公河三角洲区域的略论和评价。从湄公河三角洲经济近况和存在问题,使用层次模型、主成分略论、TOPSIS措施和权重信息完全未知和通过湄公河三角洲“经济—社会—环境”评价指标体系的建立进行湄公河三角洲区域发展状态的略论与评价。学习来自发展中国家的工业发展的经验,使用SWOT措施进行可行性和发展趋势等略论,建立湄公河三角洲区域可持续发展总体目标框架,提出湄公河三角洲区域可持续发展的策略和主要方法。论文取得了以下主要结果:湄公河三角洲区域发展存在许多需要继续解决的缺点;经济结构不合理,经济发展不稳定和存在地区异同问题,发展一般集中在自然资源丰富的地区;湄公河三角洲正处于工业化时期,节约能源、减少废弃物排放、改善和完善经济结构等内容是在湄公河三角洲未来发展的方向。建立了湄公河三角洲区域可持续发展策略,以作为政府做出宏观经济的决策的科学依据,为科学家提供湄公河三角洲社会经济发展的重要数据,特别是能促进越南工业化和现代化的过程。本文有以下创新点:(i)基于经济发展的内容,基本准则体系,和湄公河三角洲区域发展的近况,本文建立了可持续发展评价指标体系。可持续发展评价指标体系包括三个子系统:经济、环境和社会,总共27个指标。该指标体系是高度适用于湄公河三角洲区域发展综合评价。越南湄公河三角洲工业化的近况未有一个可持续的经济发展评价指标体系。因此,该评价指标体系是十分迫切的事情。(ii)本文提供了一个有趣的案例,运用可持续发展评价指标体系,通过使用定量措施,主成分略论措施,和组合确定权重措施基于最大化的多标准决策偏差等对越南湄公河三角洲区域发展的近况进行略论。(iii)越南湄公河三角洲政府可持续发展的策略并不完美。本文提出可持续发展的主要方法和策略是探讨成果对越南湄公河三角洲区域具有创新性和重要意义。
【关键词】：越南湄公河三角洲 可持续发展 指标体系 主成分略论 TOPSIS优选措施 SWOT略论
摘要5-7 Abstract7-17 Chapter 1 Introduction17-36 1.1 Background and significance17-20 1.1.1 Background17-18 1.1.2 Significance18-20 1.2 General status of research issues20-30 1.2.1 Status of research issues in the world20-26 1.2.2 Status of research issues in Vietnam26-30 1.3 Route and method of research30-32 1.3.1 Research route30-31 1.3.2 Research method31-32 1.4 The main content and thesis frame structure32-34 1.5 The innovations and deficiencies of the thesis34-36 1.5.1 The innovations of the thesis34 1.5.2 The deficiencies of the thesis34-36 Chapter 2 Basic theories of sustainable development36-55 2.1 Some concepts36-45 2.1.1 The concept of development36-37 2.1.2 The concept of sustainable development37-40 2.1.3 The concept of sustainable industrial development40-43 2.1.4 The relationship between sustainable development and economic growth43-45 2.2 Sustainable development system45-49 2.2.1 Definition of sustainable development system45 2.2.2 The nature of sustainable development system45-47 2.2.3 Subsystems constituting SDS47-49 2.3 Evaluating method on sustainable development49-50 2.4 Factors affecting to sustainable development50-54 2.4.1 Factor group of the natural conditions50-51 2.4.2 Factors group of demographic and human resources51-52 2.4.3 Factors group of socio-economic52-54 2.5 Conclusions54-55 Chapter 3 Overview of economic development in the Mekong Delta55-68 3.1 Overview of economic location Mekong Delta55-56 3.1.1 Geographical location55-56 3.1.2 Economic Position56 3.2 The current state of economic development in the Mekong Delta56-59 3.2.1 Value-added of industry57-58 3.2.2 The main industrial activities58 3.2.3 The limited issues58-59 3.3 Factors effect to sustainable development in the Mekong Delta59-67 3.3.1 Factor group of the natural conditions59-62 3.3.2 Factor group of population and industrial labour62-64 3.3.3 Factors group of economy and society64-67 3.4 Conclusions67-68 Chapter 4 Construction of indicator system for evaluating on sustainable development68-83 4.1 Sustainable development indicator system68-72 4.1.1 Integrated sustainable development indicators68-70 4.1.2 Systematic hierarchy of sustainable development indicators70-71 4.1.3 Multidimensional matrix structure for sustainable development indicators71-72 4.2 Indicator system for evaluating on sustainable development72-77 4.2.1 Effects and construction principles of indicator system for evaluating on sustainabledevelopment72-74 4.2.2 The structure and construction method of indicator system for evaluating onsustainable development74-77 4.3 Generate indicator system for evaluating on sustainable development in the MekongDelta77-81 4.3.1 Economic subsystem78 4.3.2 Social subsystem78 4.3.3 Environmental subsystem78-80 4.3.4 The hierarchy structured on indicator system for evaluating on sustainabledevelopment in the Mekong Delta80-81 4.4 Innovations of the indicator system of evaluation on sustainable development in theMekong Delta81 4.5 Conclusions81-83 Chapter 5 Evaluating on sustainable development in the Mekong Delta83-111 5.1 Evaluating on sustainable development in the Mekong Delta of Vietnam by the principalcomponent analysis83-94 5.1.1 Data collection83-85 5.1.2 Standardization data processing85-87 5.1.3 Factor solution process87-88 5.1.4 Evaluation scores of sustainable development88-90 5.1.5 Analysis of results90-94 5.2 Evaluating on sustainable development in the Mekong Delta by using TOPSIS methodwith completely unknown weight information94-106 5.2.1 Evaluation system of sustainable development95-97 5.2.2 The evaluation method97-99 5.2.3 Model application of evaluating on sustainable development in the Mekong Delta ofVietnam99-101 5.2.4 Evaluation and discussion of results101-106 5.3 Comparison of results PCA and TOPSIS method106-108 5.4 The existences and limitations of economic development in the Mekong Delta108-109 5.5 Conclusions109-111 Chapter 6 Experiential lessons from developed countries and SWOT analysis for theMekong Delta111-134 6.1 Experience on sustainable development in the developed countries111-125 6.1.1 Sustainable development strategy of China111-114 6.1.2 Sustainable development strategy in Japan114-119 6.1.3 Action program for sustainable development in Republic of Korea119-121 6.1.4 Action programme for sustainable development of Thailand121-123 6.1.5 Action programme for sustainable development of New Zealand123-125 6.2 The strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats of sustainable development in theMekong Delta125-131 6.2.1 SWOT analysis125 6.2.2 The strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats of sustainable development inthe Mekong Delta125-131 6.3 Lessons of sustainable development for the Mekong Delta131-133 6.4 Conclusions133-134 Chapter 7 The strategies and measures of sustainable development in the Mekong Delta134-148 7.1 The perspective and orientation of sustainable development in the Mekong Delta134-135 7.1.1 The perspective134-135 7.1.2 The orientation135 7.2 The planning of sustainable development in Mekong Delta135-138 7.2.1 The structure of economic zone135-136 7.2.2 The zoning for economic development136-138 7.3 The measures for sustainable development of the Mekong Delta138-147 7.3.1 Changing mode of economic development and selecting of priority industries, keyindustries and develop supporting industries138-140 7.3.2 Adjusting the distribution of industry, construction and synchronous development ofeconomic zones140-142 7.3.3 Implementation of policies to prevent and protect the environment and economicdevelopment environment142-144 7.3.4 Make good linkages and cooperation among provinces and city of region, to aim forsustainable development144-145 7.3.5 Enhance the role of state management, policies to support enterprises to developsustainable economy145-146 7.3.6 Enhancing Social Consensus146-147 7.4 Conclusions147-148 Thesis conclusions148-151 1. The main research conclusions148-149 2. Main innovation points of thesis149-150 3. The deficiencies in research of thesis150-151 References151-166 攻读学位期间取得的探讨成果166-167 Acknowledgements167-168 ，越南语论文，越语毕业论文 |
